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Catalyst: Probability and the gambler's fallacy

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Woman stands outside Lunar Park entrance
Catalyst: Probability and the gambler's fallacy

SUBJECTS:  Maths

YEARS:  3–4, 5–6, 7–8


Mathematician Lily Serna visits Luna Park to explain a great probability pitfall.

She shares a century-old tale from Monte Carlo casino, and then she puts its lesson to the test.

If you flip a coin and it lands on heads three times in a row, what result would you predict for the next flip?

Find out why intuition might land you in debt!



Date of broadcast: 9 Nov 2018


Copyright

Metadata © Australian Broadcasting Corporation and Education Services Australia Ltd 2012 (except where otherwise indicated). Digital content © Australian Broadcasting Corporation (except where otherwise indicated). Video © Australian Broadcasting Corporation (except where otherwise indicated). All images copyright their respective owners. Text © Australian Broadcasting Corporation and Education Services Australia is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License (CC BY-SA 4.0).

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Mathematics Education