Mathematics / Year 10 / Statistics and Probability / Chance

Curriculum content descriptions

Use the language of ‘if ....then, ‘given’, ‘of’, ‘knowing that’ to investigate conditional statements and identify common mistakes in interpreting such language (ACMSP247)

Elaborations
  • using two-way tables and Venn diagrams to understand conditional statements
  • using arrays and tree diagrams to determine probabilities
General capabilities
  • Literacy Literacy
  • Numeracy Numeracy
ScOT terms

Critical thinking,  Conditional probability

Online

Determining the probability of a good day for sowing cotton

This activity is a series of three related tasks that support the use of spreadsheets (Excel), Venn diagrams and two-way tables to develop an understanding of conditional probability when used to determine the probability of a farmer being able to sow a cotton crop. The activity is, based on real historical soil and air ...

Online

reSolve: Probability - Forensic Investigations

This lesson investigates real-world applications of probability. Students examine real-world case studies of probability being applied in misleading ways. They assess and explain the flaws in the mathematical methodology used. There is also an emphasis on accurate and inaccurate ways of communicating mathematical concepts ...

Downloadable

Counter-intuitive probability

This lesson is designed to demonstrate the ways in which random chance can be counter-intuitive. Students will explore how assumptions made in probability can be risky and investigate how to perform precise calculations to answer probability questions. The lesson is outlined in detail including NSW curriculum links, learning ...

Downloadable

Easter Show games of chance

In this lesson, students will calculate the probability of an average person scoring a shot at a basketball game at the Easter Show. They will then use these probabilities to design a payout system which can absorb the losses from an average player winning big, whilst profiting from the average player who scores very poorly, ...

Downloadable

Two-up - The fairest game of all?

In this lesson, students look at the history and mathematics of Two-Up, exploring why it is considered such a fair game, and how the ‘boxer’ or game runner makes a profit. The lesson is outlined in detail including NSW curriculum links, learning intentions, discussion points, materials required, links to supporting videos ...

Downloadable

Sports betting

In this lesson students will take ownership of a gambling organisation. They will look at long term statistics of various sporting matches to set the initial odds and then monitor live betting to adjust the odds they are offering gamblers, in order to demonstrate how sports betting organisations guarantee they always make ...

Downloadable

Assessment task: Non-transitive dice

This assessment includes a number of questions to enable students to demonstrate their understanding and learning in probability. Students will be asked to explore the outcomes of a set of non-transitive dice using probability tree diagrams, and discover their unique features. The assessment task is outlined in detail including ...

Downloadable

Should you swap?

This lesson explores the classic probability problem, commonly known as the Monty Hall problem: having chosen what you think is the winning door with the money behind it, should you swap to another door when Monty offers you the opportunity? Students will first use probability language to define the problem. Students will ...

Downloadable

Lotto mania

In this lesson, students will simulate a lottery, and perform calculations to determine the small probability of their exact numbers being drawn from a lottery. They will also consider the financial investment that would be required to guarantee a lottery win, ultimately determining that such a strategy would end up costing ...

Downloadable

How does gambling on the races work?

This lesson simulates the operation of a bookmaker to illustrate to students how easy it is to get swept up in the excitement of a race, and to show how the bookmakers are always coming out having made a profit. The lesson is outlined in detail including NSW curriculum links, learning intentions, discussion points, materials ...

Downloadable

Poker machines

In this lesson, students design a poker machine payout system which both guarantees a return of 85% of money invested, while also being fun and engaging for the player. Students then simulate these machines to test the ‘actual’ or real world payout of such machines, taking note of their feelings when playing. Ultimately, ...

Downloadable

Multi-bets

In this lesson, students will calculate both the payout and the odds for various multi-bets, demonstrating how even this increased payout does not match the probability of achieving such a bet, and therefore the risk and appeal of the bet should be weighed up. The lesson is outlined in detail including NSW curriculum links, ...

Online

Probability calculations: Year 10 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 10 is for the topic of Probability calculations. Students design and conduct chance experiments relating to conditional probability using digital simulation tools to conduct multiple trials. Students are expected to interpret problems and describe their interpretations.

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Investing

This lesson explores what investing is, different types of investments and their risks, how to invest safely and where to begin. The resource is part of a suite of lesson plans and activities from MoneySmart, designed to bring everyday financial topics into the classroom.

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Capital Airways: Part 1

In this lesson students are introduced to the concept of a network through an airline route map. The task extends into a detailed mathematical modelling activity with students exploring in teams how to re-design the network map to improve the airline’s profitability. This lesson is in two parts and is followed by Capital ...

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Capital Airways: Part 2

This is the second lesson in the Capital Airways series and follows the prior lesson Capital Airways: Part 1. Students investigate a network through an airline route map. The task is a mathematical modelling activity whereby students collaborate to re-design the network map to improve the airline’s profitability.

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How wrong?

In this lesson, students explore the importance of measurement errors by considering the ‘coastline paradox’ and real-world applications, including in aviation, sports and space exploration. They learn how measurement errors compound in volume calculations by exploring the impact of rounding when finding the volumes of ...

Interactive

Laptop wrap: Geometry gems

A page with a focus on using GeoGebra to enhance student understanding of various geometric properties and the importance of reasoning in proof. A laptop-friendly resource that includes supporting activities and links to resources.

Online

TIMES Module 15: Statistics and Probability: chance, year 10 - teacher guide

This is a 15-page guide for teachers. This module continues the development of probability. In year 10, students consider situations involving two or three stages or two or three variables. In the special case of two- or three-step chance experiments, they assign probabilities to outcomes in situations involving selections ...

Video

My Five Cents: Why investing can be risky

Planning to get rich quick by investing one day? Before you jump in, let Gen Fricker explain some of the risks involved with different types of investments. Then test yourself with ASIC MoneySmart's "Things to think about" classroom exercises.