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Listed under:  Statistics and probability  >  Conditional probability

Probability calculations: Year 10 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 10 is for the topic of Probability calculations. Students design and conduct chance experiments relating to conditional probability using digital simulation tools to conduct multiple trials. Students are expected to interpret problems and describe their interpretations.

Conduct chance experiments: Year 9 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 9 is for the topic of Conduct chance experiments. Students draw on what they have learnt about probabilities related to compound events and apply this knowledge in a variety of experiments. The use of digital tools and simulations allow for repeated practice of compound events and help to ...

Conduct chance experiments: Year 10 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 10 is for the topic of Conduct chance experiments. Students design and conduct chance experiments relating to conditional probability using digital simulation tools to conduct multiple trials. Students are expected to interpret problems and describe their interpretations.

How to win at rock-paper-scissors

Find out how to win at rock-paper-scissors using game theory. According to this theory, how should you decide on your next move when you play multiple rounds? See if you can apply this theory in multiple rounds of rock-paper-scissors with someone. Did you win? |Why would this theory be useful in economics?

Probability calculations: Year 9 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 9 is for the topic of Probability calculations. Students build on their knowledge of probability, Venn diagrams, two-way tables and the terms ‘and’ and ‘or’ (inclusive or exclusive) in relation to events whereby relative frequencies may be calculated.

Possible outcomes: Year 8 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 8 is for the topic of Possible outcomes. Students are introduced to more complex probability concepts, terminology and visual representations. These concepts may be challenging for students to comprehend and will need multiple examples incorporating relevant teaching strategies.

Possible outcomes: Year 4 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 4 is for the topic of Possible outcomes. Students build on their language of chance and ability to order outcomes or events based on their likelihood of occurring. They begin working with independent and dependent events – independent events occur when one event does not affect the other, ...

Possible outcomes: Year 9 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 9 is for the topic of Possible outcomes. Students are familiar with the language and concepts behind probability and possible outcomes. From here students focus their learning on using systematic approaches for various types of compound events before assigning probabilities to more complicated ...

Determining the probability of a good day for sowing cotton

This activity is a series of three related tasks that support the use of spreadsheets (Excel), Venn diagrams and two-way tables to develop an understanding of conditional probability when used to determine the probability of a farmer being able to sow a cotton crop. The activity is, based on real historical soil and air ...

Catalyst: Probability and the gambler's fallacy

Mathematician Lily Serna visits Luna Park to explain a great probability pitfall. She shares a century-old tale from Monte Carlo casino, and then she puts its lesson to the test. If you flip a coin and it lands on heads three times in a row, what result would you predict for the next flip? Find out why intuition might land ...

reSolve: Probability - Forensic Investigations

This lesson investigates real-world applications of probability. Students examine real-world case studies of probability being applied in misleading ways. They assess and explain the flaws in the mathematical methodology used. There is also an emphasis on accurate and inaccurate ways of communicating mathematical concepts ...

ReSolve: Hot Streaks

This sequence of two lessons students investigate streaks in statistical data. They develop tests for randomness in order to distinguish between random and non-random results and use their understanding of randomness to investigate the existence or otherwise of the 'hot streak' phenomenon in basketball. Each lesson is outlined ...