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Mathematics / Year 4 / Statistics and Probability / Chance

View on Australian Curriculum website Australian Curriculum, Assessment and Reporting Authority
Curriculum content descriptions

Identify events where the chance of one will not be affected by the occurrence of the other (ACMSP094)

  • explaining why the probability of a new baby being either a boy or a girl does not depend on the sex of the previous baby
General capabilities
  • Numeracy Numeracy
  • Critical and creative thinking Critical and creative thinking
ScOT terms

Independence (Experiments),  Conditional probability

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Year level 3-4
Resource type
Learning area Mathematics
Moving Image

Probability and the gambler's fallacy

Mathematician Lily Serna visits Luna Park to explain a great probability pitfall. She shares a century-old tale from Monte Carlo casino, and then she puts its lesson to the test. If you flip a coin and it lands on heads three times in a row, what result would you predict for the next flip? Find out why intuition might land ...