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Listed under:  Mathematics  >  Statistics and probability  >  Probability
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Catalyst: Probability and the birthday paradox

Even when a maths problem seems simple – for example, the chance of two people sharing a birthday – the maths can run counter to our human intuition. Mathematician Lily Serna poses a maths problem to the Clovelly Bowling Club: how many people do you need to gather to get a 50 per cent chance of any two people in that group ...

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Catalyst: Magical maths

At first glance, maths and magic might not appear to have much in common, but did you know that you can use maths and logic to come up with solutions to problems that can seem magical? Learn one such maths trick in this video from ABC Catalyst. What is the probability of the letter not being 'e'?

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Can We Help Same birthday whats the chance video

Mathematician Adam Spencer answers a question about something called the 'birthday paradox'. Find out what this has to do with birthdays and the number of people in a room.

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Mixed Up Maths, Ep 9: The giraffe ate it

When something has no chance of happening we say its impossible. Sometimes the chance of something happening is unlikely. Listen to these excuses explaining why the host did not do his homework. Which of his excuses might the teacher think, the chance of this happening is ... 'possible'?

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Catalyst: Probability and the gambler's fallacy

Mathematician Lily Serna visits Luna Park to explain a great probability pitfall. She shares a century-old tale from Monte Carlo casino, and then she puts its lesson to the test. If you flip a coin and it lands on heads three times in a row, what result would you predict for the next flip? Find out why intuition might land ...

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What Are the Chances?

Do you know what chance is? It's the probability or the likelihood of something happening. Watch this video as Grace explains the probability of picking a red marble out of a bowl. What's the probability of picking a green marble?

Interactive

Experimental probability

This is an interactive resource that enables students to conduct virtual probability experiments using a spinner or a pair of dice. The student can manipulate the relative sizes of the different coloured segments of the spinner or the numbers on the faces of the dice to investigate the effect of these changes on probability. ...

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MathXplosion, Ep 49: The probability of finding matching socks

Check out this probability puzzle that requires you to weigh all the possibilities. Pick the most likely outcome when confronted with a drawer full of loose, unpaired socks! How did Eric come up with a matching pair?

Online

reSolve: Scrabble Stats

This sequence of lessons invites students to collect data about letter frequency in a variety of text sources. They use their findings to critically evaluate letter point values in Scrabble, compare them to historical values, create their own themed Scrabble point values and to decipher an encoded excerpt of text. Each ...

Online

TIMES Module 15: Statistics and Probability: chance, year 10 - teacher guide

This is a 15-page guide for teachers. This module continues the development of probability. In year 10, students consider situations involving two or three stages or two or three variables. In the special case of two- or three-step chance experiments, they assign probabilities to outcomes in situations involving selections ...

Online

TIMES Module 11: Statistics and Probability: chance, year 6 - teacher guide

This is a 17-page guide for teachers. It continues the development of probability. A careful consideration of outcomes and equally likely outcomes is undertaken. Experiments involving known probabilities are considered and what is observed is compared with what is expected. This is carried out with both small and large ...

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Thumb wrestling tournament

In this introductory activity students use a simple thumb-wrestling tournament to analyse a series of matches in which there can only be one victor. Students work in small groups to explore different ways of mapping out the events of a tournament, introducing the concept of constructing sample spaces and tree diagrams as ...

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Count Us In, Ep 12: Will it Rain Today?

What is the chance for Flynn and Dodly that it will rain at the beach? Dodly takes his umbrella and gumboots just in case it rains, and his scarf and gloves in case it gets cold. Explore the language of chance with the two monsters. What is the chance Dodly will pick a blue lolly out of the bag of four lollies?

Online

Introduction to probability

This is a website designed for both teachers and students in year 5, and addresses components of the probability topic. It is particularly relevant for discussing chance experiments where the probability of events is equally likely and for describing those events using fractions. There are pages for both teachers and students. ...

Online

Probability

This is a teacher resource for probability consisting of a website and a PDF with identical content. It contains an introduction to probability, a discussion of random procedures, a formal approach to events and event spaces and probability axioms, conditional probability and independence, and the laws of probability.

Online

Inference for proportions

This is a teacher resource for inference of proportions consisting of a website and a PDF with identical content. It contains discussion of how probability is used in statistical inference, the sample proportion as an estimator, the sample proportion as a random variable, population parameters and sample estimates, and ...

Online

Binomial distribution

This is a teacher resource for the binomial distribution consisting of a website and a PDF with identical content. It contains discussion of Bernoulli trials and the mean and variance of the binomial distribution. It provides examples of where the binomial distribution is applicable.

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Statistics games

This resource is a web page containing three dice games to explore chance. Each dice game has simple instructions to play the interactive strategy game. The games provide a useful way to investigate the chance of rolling a particular number after successive trials. This resource is one activity from the NRICH collection.

Online

reSolve: Probability

This sequence of four lessons explores probability in real world situations including advertising, games and population sampling. Students calculate probabilities, represent probabilities as fractions, decimals and percentages, perform chance experiments with small and large sample sizes and graph their results, examine ...

Online

reSolve: Probability - Rock Paper Scissors

In this sequence of two lessons, students determine their chances of winning the game 'rock paper scissors', then test their chances by playing against another player and in a simulated game. Students look at the psychological aspect of the game and recognise that there is a strategy to increase your chance of winning. ...