Mathematics / Year 9 / Statistics and Probability / Chance

Curriculum content descriptions

List all outcomes for two-step chance experiments, both with and without replacement using tree diagrams or arrays. Assign probabilities to outcomes and determine probabilities for events (ACMSP225)

Elaborations
  • conducting two-step chance experiments
  • using systematic methods to list outcomes of experiments and to list outcomes favourable to an event
  • comparing experiments which differ only by being undertaken with replacement or without replacement
General capabilities
  • Numeracy Numeracy
ScOT terms

Probability,  Sampling (Statistics)

Downloadable

Lucky lottery

In this lesson, students play a simple lottery game, analyse their odds of winning and how this influences the decisions they made. Students determine the differences between experimental and mathematical probability, conduct a simulation modelling an event and critically evaluate the odds of winning the lottery. The lesson ...

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Counter-intuitive probability

This lesson is designed to demonstrate the ways in which random chance can be counter-intuitive. Students will explore how assumptions made in probability can be risky and investigate how to perform precise calculations to answer probability questions. The lesson is outlined in detail including NSW curriculum links, learning ...

Downloadable

Assessment task: Non-transitive dice

This assessment includes a number of questions to enable students to demonstrate their understanding and learning in probability. Students will be asked to explore the outcomes of a set of non-transitive dice using probability tree diagrams, and discover their unique features. The assessment task is outlined in detail including ...

Downloadable

Assessment task: Chuck-a-Luck

This assessment includes a number of questions to enable students to demonstrate their understanding and learning in probability. Students will be asked to investigate an old gambling game known as Chuck-a-Luck. They will calculate the probabilities of each betting option and their expected values. The assessment task is ...

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Loot boxes

In this lesson, students will create their own video game concept, complete with a loot box system. They will then calculate the probability of obtaining all unique items to form a complete set, considering the challenges this random system entails and how the gambling system inherent could lead to unexpected losses. The ...

Downloadable

Back to the books

In this lesson, students will explore how bookmakers set odds, and how these odds are carefully determined in order to guarantee the bookmaker the best chance of making a profit. Students learn how to convert between odds and probabilities and calculate the expected profit or loss based on odds. The lesson is outlined in ...

Online

Possible outcomes: Year 9 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 9 is for the topic of Possible outcomes. Students are familiar with the language and concepts behind probability and possible outcomes. From here students focus their learning on using systematic approaches for various types of compound events before assigning probabilities to more complicated ...

Online

Probability calculations: Year 9 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 9 is for the topic of Probability calculations. Students build on their knowledge of probability, Venn diagrams, two-way tables and the terms ‘and’ and ‘or’ (inclusive or exclusive) in relation to events whereby relative frequencies may be calculated.

Online

Collect, sort and compare data: Year 9 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 9 is for the topic of Collect, sort and compare data. Students examine different techniques for collecting types of data and begin to consider the challenges of collecting representative data by sampling a population.

Online

Interpret and discuss data displays: Year 9 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 9 is for the topic of Interpret and discuss data displays. Students will be presented with various digital media to investigate and evaluate findings from reports of surveys. Students will make informative decisions based on their prior knowledge of sampling and data collection to make judgements ...

Online

The First Fleet - dataset collections

The dataset provides information about 780 of the convicts transported to Australia on the First Fleet ships 'Alexander', 'Charlotte', 'Lady Penrhyn', 'Friendship', 'Prince of Wales' and 'Scarborough' in 1788. The dataset includes information on items such as the convict's name, occupation, crime, date of trial and term ...

Text

Thumb wrestling tournament

In this introductory activity students use a simple thumb-wrestling tournament to analyse a series of matches in which there can only be one victor. Students work in small groups to explore different ways of mapping out the events of a tournament, introducing the concept of constructing sample spaces and tree diagrams as ...

Online

Australian reported crime victims since 2010 - dataset

This is a dataset that provides statistics about crimes reported by victims from 2010 to the latest year of available data. It is periodically updated by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). The dataset is in MS Excel format.

Online

TIMES Module 7: Statistics and Probability: data investigation and interpretation, year 9 - teacher guide

This is a 26-page guide for teachers. In year 8, students developed an understanding of the nature of censuses, surveys and observational studies. Year 9 develops this understanding further, and introduces examples of experimental investigations with an emphasis on random allocation of the combinations of experimental conditions. ...

Online

Conduct chance experiments: Year 9 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 9 is for the topic of Conduct chance experiments. Students draw on what they have learnt about probabilities related to compound events and apply this knowledge in a variety of experiments. The use of digital tools and simulations allow for repeated practice of compound events and help to ...

Online

Sustainable agriculture: agri-environmental indicators

This is a web resource that provides a database of agri-environmental indicators for environmental performance of agriculture in OECD countries between 1990 and 2008. The data table can be customised, with options to view by country or by theme: land, energy, air, nutrients, soil, biodiversity, pesticides, water, farm management ...

Online

ReSolve: Hot Streaks

This sequence of two lessons students investigate streaks in statistical data. They develop tests for randomness in order to distinguish between random and non-random results and use their understanding of randomness to investigate the existence or otherwise of the 'hot streak' phenomenon in basketball. Each lesson is outlined ...

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Trade and Investment at a Glance

Using an illustrated report from the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, this Teacher guide provides ten learning sequences that engage students in the analysis and interpretation of data about Australian imports and exports. Students: identify Australia's major exports and imports; investigate international trade ...

Online

The Sydney Metro rail project – Stage 5

This inquiry-based unit of work was created, trialled and peer reviewed as part of a professional learning program in inquiry-based learning for school teachers. The professional learning courses were part of a pilot partnership between the NSW Government’s Sydney Metro transport agency and Western Sydney University. The ...

Online

Australia's Trade through Time

Using an interactive timeline created by the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, this Teacher guide provides 12 series of learning experiences that engage students in the analysis and interpretation of data about Australian trade from 1900 to the present day. Students study videos, tables, images and texts in order ...