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Mathematics / Year 9 / Statistics and Probability / Chance

Curriculum content descriptions

List all outcomes for two-step chance experiments, both with and without replacement using tree diagrams or arrays. Assign probabilities to outcomes and determine probabilities for events (ACMSP225)

Elaborations
  • conducting two-step chance experiments
  • using systematic methods to list outcomes of experiments and to list outcomes favourable to an event
  • comparing experiments which differ only by being undertaken with replacement or without replacement
General capabilities
  • Numeracy Numeracy
ScOT terms

Probability,  Sampling (Statistics)

Downloadable

Assessment task: Non-transitive dice

This assessment includes a number of questions to enable students to demonstrate their understanding and learning in probability. Students will be asked to explore the outcomes of a set of non-transitive dice using probability tree diagrams, and discover their unique features. The assessment task is outlined in detail including ...

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Back to the books

In this lesson, students will explore how bookmakers set odds, and how these odds are carefully determined in order to guarantee the bookmaker the best chance of making a profit. Students learn how to convert between odds and probabilities and calculate the expected profit or loss based on odds. The lesson is outlined in ...

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Lucky lottery

In this lesson, students play a simple lottery game, analyse their odds of winning and how this influences the decisions they made. Students determine the differences between experimental and mathematical probability, conduct a simulation modelling an event and critically evaluate the odds of winning the lottery. The lesson ...

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Assessment task: Chuck-a-Luck

This assessment includes a number of questions to enable students to demonstrate their understanding and learning in probability. Students will be asked to investigate an old gambling game known as Chuck-a-Luck. They will calculate the probabilities of each betting option and their expected values. The assessment task is ...

Downloadable

Counter-intuitive probability

This lesson is designed to demonstrate the ways in which random chance can be counter-intuitive. Students will explore how assumptions made in probability can be risky and investigate how to perform precise calculations to answer probability questions. The lesson is outlined in detail including NSW curriculum links, learning ...

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Loot boxes

In this lesson, students will create their own video game concept, complete with a loot box system. They will then calculate the probability of obtaining all unique items to form a complete set, considering the challenges this random system entails and how the gambling system inherent could lead to unexpected losses. The ...

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Possible outcomes: Year 9 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 9 is for the topic of Possible outcomes. Students are familiar with the language and concepts behind probability and possible outcomes. From here students focus their learning on using systematic approaches for various types of compound events before assigning probabilities to more complicated ...

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Secondary mathematics: using real data

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Trade and Investment at a Glance

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Australia's Trade through Time

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Big data, better hospitals

Overcrowding in hospitals is one of the biggest challenges facing our healthcare system . In order to reduce hospital waiting times, the Patient Admission Prediction Tool (PAPT) uses historical data to predict how many patients, and with what kinds of injuries, are expected to arrive at the emergency department each day ...

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Catalyst: Magical maths

At first glance, maths and magic might not appear to have much in common, but did you know that you can use maths and logic to come up with solutions to problems that can seem magical? Learn one such maths trick in this video from ABC Catalyst. What is the probability of the letter not being 'e'?

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Thumb wrestling tournament

In this introductory activity students use a simple thumb-wrestling tournament to analyse a series of matches in which there can only be one victor. Students work in small groups to explore different ways of mapping out the events of a tournament, introducing the concept of constructing sample spaces and tree diagrams as ...

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TIMES Module 14: Statistics and Probability: chance, year 9 - teacher guide

This is a 19-page guide for teachers. This module continues the development of probability. A careful consideration of outcomes and equally likely outcomes is undertaken. In year 9, students consider situations involving two stages or two variables, including the special case of what are sometimes called two-step chance ...

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Probability calculations: Year 9 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 9 is for the topic of Probability calculations. Students build on their knowledge of probability, Venn diagrams, two-way tables and the terms ‘and’ and ‘or’ (inclusive or exclusive) in relation to events whereby relative frequencies may be calculated.

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Conduct chance experiments: Year 9 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 9 is for the topic of Conduct chance experiments. Students draw on what they have learnt about probabilities related to compound events and apply this knowledge in a variety of experiments. The use of digital tools and simulations allow for repeated practice of compound events and help to ...

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Collect, sort and compare data: Year 9 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 9 is for the topic of Collect, sort and compare data. Students examine different techniques for collecting types of data and begin to consider the challenges of collecting representative data by sampling a population.

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Statistical analysis: Year 9 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 9 is for the topic of Statistical analysis. Students have knowledge of various representations of data and can now extend this to comparison. Students compare many data sets of numerical variables to make comparisons using appropriate mathematical vocabulary. Students consider the shape and ...

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Interpret and discuss data displays: Year 9 – planning tool

This planning resource for Year 9 is for the topic of Interpret and discuss data displays. Students will be presented with various digital media to investigate and evaluate findings from reports of surveys. Students will make informative decisions based on their prior knowledge of sampling and data collection to make judgements ...

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TIMES Module 7: Statistics and Probability: data investigation and interpretation, year 9 - teacher guide

This is a 26-page guide for teachers. In year 8, students developed an understanding of the nature of censuses, surveys and observational studies. Year 9 develops this understanding further, and introduces examples of experimental investigations with an emphasis on random allocation of the combinations of experimental conditions. ...